Breeders Cup Picks 2019

Breeders Cup Picks 2019

Category : News - Tue 29/10/2019 - 05:41 EDT

Have a look at the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint odds and predictions.

The Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint made its debut at Churchill Downs last year. While that edition was 5 1/2 furlongs long, this year’s race at Santa Anita Park will be 5 furlongs. Trainer Todd Pletcher won the inaugural running with Bulletin, who led every step from flags fall to that’s all.

Now that we have the 2019 Breeders' Cup entries, Let's have a look at the current Breeders' Cup 2019 odds:

  • Kimari +310
  • Four Wheel Drive +400
  • A'Ali +500

Juvenile Turf Sprint Preview

Pletcher is back for more with Freewheeler, who like Bulletin was sired by City Zip. Freewheeler beat fellow New York breds on debut over the Saratoga turf course on August 30 while going 5 1/2 furlongs. From there, he went to the Futurity Stakes (G3) at Belmont Park, going 6 furlongs and finishing second.

The Futurity winner, Four Wheel Drive, is perfect in two starts, both times against stakes company. The son of 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah debuted successfully in the Rosies’ Blacktype Stakes at Colonial Downs on August 31, winning the 5 1/2 furlong sprint over the firm turf course by 3 1/4 lengths for trainer Wesley Ward.

The field’s classiest entry also comes from Ward, who last year saddled the filly Chelsea Cloisters to finish second behind Bulletin.

This year, Ward’s top female charge is Kimari, a daughter of Speightstown. After winning her debut by an eye popping 15 lengths at Keeneland in April, Kimari traveled to the prestigious Royal Ascot meet and finished second by only a head in the Queen Mary Stakes (G2) behind Raffle Prize.

Kimari returned stateside to win the Bolton Landing Stakes at Saratoga and the Indian Summer Stakes at Keeneland.

Ward is also represented by Cambria and Karak.

Cambria is perfect in three starts, having won a pair of sprints over the Presque Isle Downs synthetic surface before taking the Kentucky Downs Juvenile Sprint Stakes in her turf debut. Karak has a pair of 5 furlong turf victories on his resume, but unlike Kimari, he was unsuccessful at the Royal Ascot meet, finishing 15th in the Windsor Castle Stakes.

The son of the Japanese based stallion Karakontie was most recently fourth in the Matron Stakes (G3) at Belmont Park.

Speaking of Japan, for the first time, a Japanese runner will run in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint when Full Flat enters the gate. Though representing overseas connections, Full Flat was bred in Kentucky and is a son of Speightstown out of a daughter of Medaglia d’Oro.

In three career starts, the Hideyuki Mori trainee has one victory, which came over 6 furlongs in his only start over firm turf.

While European runners could do no better than third in this race’s inaugural running, trainer Simon Crisford is hoping that A’Ali can change that this year.

The son of Society Rock has three wins and a narrow second when running 5 1/2 furlongs or shorter, with all three victories coming against Group 2 stakes foes.His lone poor effort, a fifth in the Darley Prix Morny (G1) at Deauville, came over a soft 6 furlongs.

Trainer James Tate’s Dream Shot is one of three horses to have already made eight starts thus far. Along with a pair of victories, the son of Dream Ahead has three seconds and one third, showing a penchant for being around late.

After finishing second by a length behind A’Ali in the Wainwright Flying Childers Stakes (G2) at Doncaster, he was the first runner-up in the Al Basti Equiworld Mercury Stakes (G3) at Dundalk while facing both juveniles and elders on the synthetic surface.

The Al Basti Equiworld Mercury winner Dr Simpson is also coming stateside, looking for his second straight victory. The son of Dandy Man has two wins and has only lost by more than 2 1/4 lengths twice in eight starts for trainer Thomas Dascombe.

American trainer Peter Miller is no stranger to success at the World Championships, having won the last two editions of both the Breeders’ Cup Sprint (with Roy H) and the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (with Stormy Liberal).

His entry, Leucothea, might seem a bit of a surprise. The daughter of Midshipman has made all five career starts on dirt, including an 8 1/2 length triumph in the Anoakia Stakes last time out while going 6 furlongs.

Digging deeper, though, the California based Miller excels at these types of moves: he wins at a 25% clip with a $2.73 return on investment (ROI) with 2 year olds; at a 21% trend with a $2.39 ROI in turf sprints, and at a 23% rate with a $2.57 ROI when runners switch from dirt to turf.

Breeders's Cup Picks

The current Bovada betting favorites are Kimari (+310), Four Wheel Drive (+400), and A’Ali (+500). Last year’s inaugural running saw astronomical payouts in the trifecta, which paid $726.35 for $0.50, and the superfecta, which paid $2,548.99 for $0.10.

Though there is not enough data for historical trends, it is best to take a swing here in the exotics and use relatively unknown horses underneath in the exotics.

That points to Four Wheel Drive as the won to beat, but longshots like Dream Shot (+1600) and Leucothea (+1600) represent value underneath.

Recommended Bets: Win on Four Wheel Drive; Exacta keying Four Wheel Drive over Kimari, Dream Shot, and Leucothea.

See below the top sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you. Don't forget to claim your bonus!

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